Deep dives into market trends, technical analysis, and economic indicators.
Technical analysis attracts more confident claims per square inch than any other area of investing. These guides take a deliberately deflationary view: indicators describe what price has already done, and the honest question is not "does this predict?" but "what does this measure, and over what horizon is it useful?"
Moving averages, RSI and MACD are all transformations of past price. That is not a criticism — a well-chosen summary of the recent past is genuinely informative about regime and momentum. It becomes a problem only when a lagging measure is presented as a leading signal, which is how most indicator coverage in financial media is framed.
Where the data contradicts the popular story, we say so. The death cross is the clearest example: despite its reputation as a crash warning, the S&P 500 has historically averaged positive returns in the twelve months following many of them, and the entire signal history amounts to only around 33 events across some 66 years — far too small a sample to support the confidence with which it is discussed.
Technical levels are inputs to a plan, not the plan itself. Convert a level into an actual position with the Target Price Calculator and Break-Even Calculator.
Every candle tells a story of buyer vs seller conviction. Master the 10 essential patterns — doji, hammer, engulfing, morning star — and learn why context, not the pattern itself, decides whether you make money.
Strip away every indicator and one thing always matters: price levels where humans repeatedly buy and sell. Learn how to draw real support/resistance, use role reversal, and trade bounces or breakouts with conviction.
The 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6% retracement levels predict where pullbacks end and rallies resume. Learn how to draw the levels, why the 'golden pocket' matters, and how to combine Fibonacci with other confluences.
Master the MACD indicator to identify trend reversals, momentum shifts, and high-probability trading signals. Complete guide with real chart examples.
